Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.182984 0.199105 0.216215 0.235764 0.257527 0.281062 0.308506
2026-02-01 0.151822 0.174092 0.199305 0.230126 0.267004 0.309990 0.364287
2026-02-08 0.131716 0.156680 0.186262 0.224233 0.272155 0.331272 0.410722
2026-02-15 0.117965 0.144395 0.176858 0.220184 0.277286 0.351109 0.455666
2026-02-22 0.110267 0.138394 0.174050 0.223326 0.290870 0.382048 0.517694
2026-03-01 0.102270 0.131064 0.168548 0.221903 0.297549 0.403582 0.568359
2026-03-08 0.094955 0.123909 0.162479 0.218827 0.301148 0.420514 0.613548
2026-03-15 0.087936 0.116555 0.155451 0.213583 0.300794 0.431139 0.649682
2026-03-22 0.085287 0.114971 0.156203 0.219383 0.316992 0.467914 0.731548
2026-03-29 0.082405 0.112805 0.155876 0.223408 0.330626 0.501774 0.812652
2026-04-05 0.078788 0.109308 0.153311 0.223719 0.338256 0.526416 0.880618
2026-04-12 0.073797 0.103487 0.146895 0.217501 0.334654 0.531707 0.913809
2026-04-19 0.068839 0.097550 0.140104 0.210447 0.329478 0.534464 0.944034
2026-04-26 0.064983 0.093086 0.135332 0.206348 0.329017 0.545596 0.992404
2026-05-03 0.061243 0.088590 0.130231 0.201316 0.326449 0.552544 1.033194
2026-05-10 0.058148 0.084924 0.126217 0.197787 0.326173 0.563594 1.083943
2026-05-17 0.056637 0.083652 0.125934 0.200544 0.337416 0.597666 1.189510
2026-05-24 0.054418 0.081130 0.123463 0.199298 0.341084 0.617169 1.265436
2026-05-31 0.052075 0.078292 0.120305 0.196601 0.341735 0.630564 1.329145
2026-06-07 0.049535 0.075014 0.116241 0.192001 0.338303 0.635085 1.372026
2026-06-14 0.048939 0.074891 0.117474 0.197089 0.354269 0.682278 1.529420
2026-06-21 0.048091 0.074301 0.117863 0.200617 0.367385 0.724774 1.682975
2026-06-28 0.046740 0.072799 0.116582 0.200889 0.373800 0.752940 1.803200